Contacts
Intranet
SK
Anna Krakovská
International projects
| MEDUSSE – Seasonal-to-decadal climate predictability in the Mediterranean: process understanding and services | |
| Sezónna až dekádová predpovedateľnosť klímy v Stredomorí: pochopenie procesov a implementácie | |
| Program: | COST |
| Duration: | 8.10.2024 – 7.10.2028 |
| Project leader: | RNDr. Krakovská Anna, CSc. |
| Annotation: | Climate forecasting has enormous potential influence in different socio-economic sectors, such as agriculture, health, water management, and energy. Actionable climate information is particularly relevant at seasonal-to-decadal timescales, where predictability is linked to slow fluctuations of the system such as those in the ocean, sea-ice and land-surface, thus bridging weather/sub-seasonal predictions (mainly relying on atmospheric initial condition) with future projections (mainly based on atmospheric radiative forcing). Seasonal-to-decadal climate forecasting has progressed considerably in recent years, but prediction skill over the Mediterranean is still limited. Better understanding the drivers of regional climate anomalies as well as exploring untapped sources of predictability constitute a much-needed and timely effort.Climate variability and change pose significant challenges to society worldwide. As a result, there is a growing demand to develop improved climate information products and outlooks to help decision making and sustainable development. This is particularly critical in the Mediterranean, a region sensible to natural hazards (e.g. droughts, floods) and vulnerable to climate stress (i.e. global warming). Such an improvement can only be achieved by coordinating efforts of research groups with different expertise and trans-disciplinary. In this Action, both the scientific challenge and societal challenge will be addressed by establishing a network of experts on climate variability, predictability, prediction and application. The Action will provide support to increase awareness and capability, and guidance to suitably evolve climate knowledge into services. Specific objectives include cross-cutting training and collaboration, empowering national hydro-meteorological agencies, and fostering a continuous communication between climate researchers and stakeholders. |
| DYNALIFE – Information, Coding, and Biological Function: the Dynamics of Life | |
| Informácia, kódovanie a biologická funkcia: Dynamika života | |
| Program: | COST |
| Duration: | 19.9.2022 – 18.9.2026 |
| Project leader: | RNDr. Krakovská Anna, CSc. |
| Annotation: | In the mid-twentieth century two new scientific disciplines emerged forcefully: molecular biology and information-communication theory. At the beginning cross-fertilisation was so deep that the term genetic code was universally accepted for describing the meaning of triplets of mRNA (codons) as amino acids.However, today, such synergy has not take advantage of the vertiginous advances in the two disciplines and presents more challenges than answers. These challenges are not only of great theoretical relevance but also represent unavoidable milestones for next generation biology: from personalized genetic therapy and diagnosis, to artificial life, to the production of biologically active proteins. Moreover, the matter is intimately connected to a paradigm shift needed in theoretical biology, pioneered long time ago in Europe, and that requires combined contributions from disciplines well outside the biological realm. The use of information as a conceptual metaphor needs to be turned into quantitative and predictive models that can be tested empirically and integrated in a unified view. The successful achievement of these tasks requires a wide multidisciplinary approach, and Europe is uniquely placed to construct a world leading network to address such an endeavour. The aim of this Action is to connect involved research groups throughout Europe into a strong network that promotes innovative and high-impact multi and inter-disciplinary research and, at the same time, to develop a strong dissemination activity aimed at breaking the communication barriers between disciplines, at forming young researchers, and at bringing the field closer to a broad general audience. |
National projects
| Innovative approaches to uncovering relationships and interactions within multivariate time measurements | |
| Inovatívne prístupy k odhaľovaniu vzťahov a interakcií v rámci multivariátnych časových meraní | |
| Program: | VEGA |
| Duration: | 1.1.2026 – 31.12.2029 |
| Project leader: | RNDr. Krakovská Anna, CSc. |
| Annotation: | The project focuses on developing and applying methods for analyzing relationships between simultaneouslymeasured processes. After experience with bivariate causal detection, we now target multivariate cases, oftenmodelled as dynamical networks with time series at their nodes.We investigate Granger causality for autoregressive (AR) models and search for connections in reconstructedstate spaces when deterministic dynamics prevail. Transfer entropy, a strong representative of causal methods,will also be explored, including proposed modifications using alternative entropy measures. We also examine thepotential of machine learning methods in causal analysis.Expected outcomes include computational tools for more reliable detection of causal links and synchronisation,and for improved modelling, forecasting, and classification of the studied processes.The proposed methods will be validated on simulated data and applied to real measurements, such as effectivebrain connectivity and climate observations. |
| CAUSMET – Methods and algorithms for causal analysis and quantification of measurement uncertainty | |
| Názov projektu Metódy a algoritmy kauzálnej analýzy a kvantifikácie neistôt meraní | |
| Program: | SRDA |
| Duration: | 1.9.2026 – 31.12.2029 |
| Project leader: | Doc. RNDr. Witkovský Viktor, CSc. |
| Annotation: | The project develops advanced methods and algorithms for causal analysis of stochastic and deterministic processes and for quantifying measurement uncertainties. It addresses methodological challenges in the analysis of time series and dynamical data, where correlation alone is insufficient to reveal the mechanisms governing system behavior. Manyapplications, therefore, require identifying causal relations between variables while reliably characterizing uncertainties arising from measurement processes, noise, and incomplete observations.The project will develop classical and modern approaches to causal analysis of time series based on probabilistic and statistical modeling, and integrate them with algorithms enabling statistical inference and prediction in the presence of randomness, measurement errors, and uncertainty.Modern applications in physical, biomedical, economic, environmental, and linguistic measurements, as well as in the social sciences (education, psychology), generate large and complex datasets with intricate dependence structures and temporal dynamics. A significant project component is hence the study of stochastic dynamical models, including diffusion processes, as a natural framework for modeling random dynamics observed via measurement time series. When modeling complex temporal or spatio-temporal data using kriging, causal structure will serve as a key starting point.The project also advances uncertainty methods for quantifying measurement uncertainties in line with modern metrology and aims to establish a unified methodological framework combining causal analysis, dynamical modeling, and statistical inference and forecasting. Interdisciplinary collaboration among the Institute of Measurement Science of the SAS, theMathematical Institute of the SAS, and the Faculty of Science of P. J. Šafárik University creates favorable conditions for the development of new theoretical results, efficient algorithms, and their applications. |